Mexico Open One And Done Pick Strategy (2024)

One And Done pick strategy and advice for the 2024 Mexico Open, where Tony Finau is the defending champ and favorite this year.

Tony Finau has finished 1st and 2nd in two years at the Mexico Open (John Adams/Icon Sportswire)

This week our One And Done pick strategy research heads south of the border for the Mexico Open, played at Vidante Vallarte. The Mexico Open was moved this year in the calendar (it was played in late April last year), and is being played between the West Coast Swing that just concluded, and the start of Florida tournaments next week.

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Last Week’s One And Done Pick Results

Hideki Matsuyama made a Sunday charge, shooting a 62 to win the Genesis Invitational in commanding fashion, after starting the day six strokes back of leader Patrick Cantlay. Matsuyama was, again, rarely picked, and was a long-shot not only entering the tournament, but also entering the final round. Will Zalatoris and Luke List finished tied for second. Zalatoris was picked by around 1% of One And Done entries, while List was also rarely picked.

Cantlay and Xander Schauffele were two of the pre-tournament favorites, and were in the final pairing entering Sunday, but both fell out of the top three (finishing tied for 4th) with mediocre finishes. They were both among our top five graded options in many pools, and were the highest-scoring commonly used golfers (our estimates are that Cantlay had popularity just over 10% in a lot of pools, while Schauffele was closer to 5%).

Our highest-graded golfer, Rory McIlroy, had a rough two-hole stretch on Thursday of double-bogey/triple-bogey late in the round, and despite playing better over the final three rounds, finished only in a tie for 24th.

Public popularity was spread out for this event, with the most popular choices in many pools being some combination of Cantlay, Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler, Adam Scott, and Justin Thomas. Scheffler’s T-10 finish was the next best of that group besides Cantlay, while Thomas missed the cut.

2024 Mexico Open Pick Strategy: Purse Info

A first place pick at the Mexico Open is worth $1,458,000 to One And Done pool players. The Mexico Open’s total prize purse of $8.1 million ranks 30th out of events that began in January and end by the BMW Championship. As a result of that relatively lower prize purse, and this event coming immediately after the Genesis Invitational (and before a string of Florida events), a lot of the top-ranked golfers are sitting this one out. That means making some choices from golfers who have not been heavily picked so far in One And Done pools.

If you want to see where this tournament’s purse ranks in your specific One And Done pool, you can set up your pool entry in our One And Done Golf product.

2024 Mexico Open Field Overview For One And Done Pools

This analysis serves as a complement to the data provided in our Golf One And Done Golf Picks product, which provides you customized weekly pick grades based on factors like the number of picks you need to make and the number of tournaments used in your pool.

Here are some notable highlights for the Mexico Open field:

  • Tony Finau is the biggest name in this event and the favorite, as he won here last year (beating out Jon Rahm) and finished second two years ago, so you should expect him to be a popular choice.
  • Nicolai Hojgaard is actually our highest-ranked golfer in the field (No. 29) just ahead of Finau.
  • None of the Top 25 golfers in our rankings are playing the Mexico Open this week, and only four in our Top 50 are playing.
  • The other two (besides Finau and Hojgaard) are Thorbjorn Oleson and Stephan Jaeger. Oleson is making his PGA Tour debut for 2024 after winning a DP World Tour event in January.
  • The Mexico Open has been an event on the PGA Tour the previous two years, and other golfers in this field who have at least one Top 10 finish include the following: Emiliano Grillo, Patrick Rodgers, Brandon Wu, Alex Smalley, Joseph Bramlett, Harry Hall, Cameron Champ, Davis Riley, David Lipsky, Alejandro Tosti, and Ben Taylor.

One And Done Pick Advice For The 2024 Mexico Open

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