2025 Masters Odds to Make the Cut: Who’s Safe?

From Ludvig Aberg to Phil Mickelson to Will Zalatoris, and all golfers in between, we break down the odds to make the cut at the 2025 Masters.

We know many of you play in Masters pools where making or missing the cut can have a major impact on scoring. That’s why we’re sharing tables showing the odds to make the cut at the 2025 Masters, adjusted from DraftKings Sportsbook.

These tables include all golfers in the field (except for the five amateurs) and supplement the data available to Masters & Majors subscribers.

In the subscriber Data Grid, we go even deeper with insights like:

• Expected tier win odds tailored to your specific pool format
• Projected pick popularity for every tier

Use this cut data alongside our Masters tools to make smarter, pool-winning picks.

Understanding Hold Percentages on Masters Cut Odds

Alongside our cut odds for each golfer, we’ve included a “hold” percentage—an important metric for evaluating betting value. Hold represents the sportsbook’s margin, calculated by adding the implied probabilities of both sides of the same market (in this case, “make the cut” and “miss the cut”).

For example:

• Dustin Johnson to make the cut: -200 (66.7%)
• To miss the cut: +125 (44.4%)
• Combined implied probability: 111.1%
• Hold = 11.1%

Since one of the two outcomes must happen, anything over 100% reflects the built-in margin.

Hold Categories

Holds vary by golfer, and at the 2025 Masters, we’ve observed significant differences. Some players, often due to name value, uncertain form, or public betting volume, have much higher hold percentages.

We’ve grouped golfers based on their hold range:

• Low: Below 6%
• Average: 6% to below 9%
• High: 9% to 11%
• Very High: Above 11%

A “Very High” hold suggests less clarity around a golfer’s true cut probability. This often happens when sportsbooks anticipate or have already taken a lot of action on both sides. Notable examples include Phil Mickelson, Charl Schwartzel, and Xander Schauffele, all with some mix of volatility, injury history, or fan-driven betting volume.

We’ll display golfers in tiers based on their odds to make the cut, with hold percentages provided to help you spot uncertainty and potential inefficiencies.

Masters Odds to Make the Cut: Golfers at 70% or higher

Golfer	Make Cut	Hold
Scottie Scheffler	91%	Average
Rory McIlroy	89%	Average
Collin Morikawa	84%	Average
Jon Rahm	84%	Low
Justin Thomas	81%	Low
Ludvig Aberg	80%	High
Hideki Matsuyama	79%	Average
Tommy Fleetwood	78%	Low
Xander Schauffele	77%	Very High
Joaquin Niemann	77%	Low
Bryson DeChambeau	77%	Very High
Shane Lowry	76%	Average
Jordan Spieth	76%	Average
Russell Henley	75%	Low
Tyrell Hatton	75%	Low
Patrick Cantlay	74%	Average
Corey Conners	73%	Average
Robert MacIntyre	72%	Average
Brooks Koepka	72%	High
Viktor Hovland	71%	Very High
Will Zalatoris	70%	High
Min Woo Lee	70%	Average
Tony Finau	70%	Low

• Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are in their own category, with odds to miss the cut substantially lower than many other golfers in the top tiers.
• Xander Schauffele‘s recent form after his injury and Bryson DeChambeau‘s inconsistencies at Augusta are likely leading to more variability around their odds of making the cut.

2025 Masters Odds to Make the Cut: Golfers at 60% to 69%

Golfer	Make Cut	Hold
Sergio Garcia	69%	Low
Sepp Straka	69%	Low
Akshay Bhatia	69%	Low
Jason Day	68%	Average
Justin Rose	67%	Low
Patrick Reed	67%	High
Cameron Smith	67%	Average
Daniel Berger	66%	Average
Aaron Rai	65%	Low
Keegan Bradley	65%	Low
Wyndham Clark	65%	Average
Tom Kim	64%	High
Sahith Theegala	64%	High
Davis Thompson	63%	Average
Lucas Glover	63%	Low
Denny McCarthy	63%	Low
Brian Harman	63%	Average
Michael Kim	62%	Low
J.J. Spaun	62%	Average
Adam Scott	62%	Average
Sung-Jae Im	61%	Very High
Dustin Johnson	61%	Very High
Byeong-Hun An	61%	Low
Taylor Pendrith	61%	Average
Harris English	60%	Average

• Several LIV veterans show up here with typically higher holds, including Sergio Garcia, Patrick Reed, and Dustin Johnson.
• Some golfers who rank higher in our golfer rankings, like Aaron Rai (No. 22), Taylor Pendrith (No. 23), and Davis Thompson (No. 41), show up lower here in “make the cut” odds, likely accounting for more risk as they are making their Masters debuts. They are still the Masters rookies with the highest relative “make the cut” odds this week.

2025 Masters Odds to Make the Cut: Golfers at 50% to 59%

Golfer	Make Cut	Hold
Thomas Detry	59%	Low
Sam Burns	59%	Average
Maverick McNealy	59%	Average
Billy Horschel	59%	Average
Matt Fitzpatrick	58%	Average
Stephan Jaeger	58%	Average
Laurie Canter	58%	Average
J.T. Poston	58%	Average
Nicolai Hojgaard	56%	Average
Nick Taylor	56%	Average
Rasmus Hojgaard	55%	Average
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	55%	Average
Max Greyserman	54%	Average
Joe Highsmith	54%	Average
Chris Kirk	54%	Average
Kevin Yu	54%	Average
Phil Mickelson	53%	Very High
Charl Schwartzel	52%	Very High
Tom Hoge	52%	Average
Austin Eckroat	52%	Average
Cameron Young	51%	Very High
Cam Davis	51%	Average
Matt McCarty	51%	Average
Nico Echavarria	51%	High

• More Masters rookies show up in this range to make the cut, including Maverick McNealy, Thomas Detry, Laurie Canter, Max Greyserman, Joe Highsmith, Rasmus Hojgaard, Kevin Yu, Matt McCarty, and Nico Echavarria.
• Charl Schwartzel and Phil Mickelson are the two golfers in the 2025 Masters field with the highest holds, over 14% on their make-or-miss cut numbers. Both are past their primes but have played Augusta National well over their careers, likely leading to the high variation in odds offered for both.

2025 Masters Odds to Make the Cut: Golfers under 50%

Golfer	Make Cut	Hold
Jhonattan Vegas	47%	Average
Max Homa	46%	High
Nick Dunlap	45%	High
Zach Johnson	45%	Average
Davis Riley	45%	Average
Bubba Watson	44%	Average
Mathieu Pavon	44%	High
Brian Campbell	44%	Average
Danny Willett	43%	Average
Adam Schenk	42%	Average
Patton Kizzire	41%	High
Thriston Lawrence	39%	High
Rafael Campos	33%	High
Bernhard Langer	26%	High
Fred Couples	26%	High
Angel Cabrera	22%	Very High
Mike Weir	17%	Average
Jose Maria Olazabal	10%	Average
Justin Hastings		Amateur
Jose Luis Ballester		Amateur
Hiroshi Tai		Amateur
Noah Kent		Amateur
Evan Beck		Amateur

• Five former champions are at the bottom of the odds list to make the cut this year. That includes Angel Cabrera, who is playing for the first time since 2019 after serving jail time in Brazil and Argentina related to domestic violence charges.
• Thriston Lawrence and Rafael Campos are the two current professionals (not former champions) with the lowest odds to make the cut.
• Adding all 90 golfers up, we get 53.6 to make the cut. If we assume that the amateurs average a 20% to 25% chance to make the cut, that gets us to about 54.8 golfers on average to make the cut at the 2025 Masters. At the last five Masters, the median was 54.0, and the mean was 56.0, with a range of 52 and 60 golfers making the cut in recent years under the “Top 50 and ties” rule.