Week 10 NFL Survivor Picks Strategy & Advice (2025)

We break down the top NFL Survivor Picks for Week 10 and provide strategy insights on how to plan ahead based on your specific pool.

by Spencer Limbach - Nov 9, 2025

Welcome to our Week 10 NFL Survivor picks and strategy column, the companion to our NFL Survivor Picks product. If you haven’t tried the product, we highly recommend it. It provides personalized NFL Survivor recommendations tailored to your pool’s size and rules.

This article focuses on broader strategy for Survivor contests, the key decisions you will face, and the weekly dynamics that shape long-term planning.

We enter Week 10 after a couple of shakeups in Week 9. Most heavy favorites survived, but the Packers fell at home to the Panthers despite being 13-point favorites. We estimate that about 15% of entries were on Green Bay.

Detroit also lost at home as a 9.5-point favorite against the Vikings. That outcome had a smaller impact on NFL Survivor pools, as we estimate roughly 3% of entries were on the Lions.

We will outline how to move forward from here based on your pool’s size and rules. We will also update this page throughout the week with injury news, line movement, and changes in NFL Survivor pick popularity.

Here’s what we have so far:

• 11/10: A Note About the Rams
• 11/9: Sunday Week 10 Pick Overview
• 11/8: Survivor Bowl, Circa, and Grandissimo Picks in for Week 10
• 11/7: NFL Survivor Week 10: Strategy Breakdown
• 11/6: Denver Broncos are a Popular Week 10 Survivor Pick on TNF
• 11/5: NFL Survivor Picks Week 10 Video
• 11/5: Carolina Panthers Continue to Trend Upward
• 11/4: Five Most Popular NFL Survivor Picks (Week 10)
• 11/4: Week 9 Recap
• FYI: About Our Survivor Advice

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Sunday Nov. 9

A Note About the Rams

Some of you may now be seeing the Rams in your pick recommendations. As you will see in our Overview below, they have now jumped to over 3% of recommendations and could close closer to 5% or 6%. We did not discuss the Rams in our Strategy Overview, because at the time, they were making way less than 0.5% of our pick recommendations and had a public pick rate of 0%.

The line has moved for the Rams, from -4.5 to -6, and as a result, their win odds, both in the market and our models, has gone to 70%, a 3% rise from where it was most of the week. It may not seem like much, but that 3% win odds rise now throws the Rams, at extreme low ownership, into the mix with several other options. They now join a lot of other heavily-used teams as an option in a tough week, for those that have them available.

In looking through some Optimal Path results for entries, they are showing up similarly to Buffalo, Detroit, Seattle, and Chicago. They might show up on some Max EV paths or alternatives depending on which combinations of other teams have been used.

And that’s where you should see them in a lot of grades. Those 5 teams all fall on a continuum of win odds/EV versus future value. From safest/best EV to lowest future value, it now runs Buffalo – Detroit – Seattle – LA Rams – Chicago. So while the Rams do have future value, it is less than the first three teams, and they present a strategic alternative at a little higher win odds than Chicago, and more future value savings compared to the first three.

There are a lot of similar choices this week. If you are not sure which ones to pick, or if it’s worth it for you if your picks are bouncing back and forth, you can look at the grades. If the pick grades are within a point or two on a couple of available teams, the case is pretty close and either is justifiable as a pick.

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Sunday Nov. 9

Week 10 Sunday AM Pick Overview

Here’s how our customized subscriber pick recommendations stand as of Sunday at 8:35 AM ET, comparing public picking trends to the percentage of picks we’re recommending to PoolGenius subscribers (the “PoolGenius” column).

The last seven columns in the table show how our recommended picks vary by subscriber pool format/rules (we added late start data to the table this week). The table shows every team with at least 2% public popularity and/or is drawing at least one recommendation from PoolGenius to one of your pool entries.