Circa Survivor Week 16 Strategy & Picks (2025)
We cover Circa Survivor Week 16 picks and strategy, looking at the final 10 entries and how they might pick.
by Jason Lisk - Dec 18, 2025
The Texans have been on a roll and now get the Raiders in Week 16 as the biggest Circa favorite pick. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)
The Circa Survivor contest remains at 10 entrants for a second week in a row, as everyone advanced by picking either Jacksonville, Philadelphia, or San Francisco in Week 15.
Ironically, two of those teams are back in play here for Week 16, and both of them should draw picks.
Last week’s results may not have had any eliminations, but we did see some important developments that will affect the contest. Patrick Mahomes’ season-ending injury means the Chiefs are no longer the favorite on Christmas (vs. Denver). One of the entries had Kansas City as the likely target there.
The other outcome that mattered was Dallas’ loss to Minnesota, which means Philadelphia’s odds of winning the NFC East (and doing so before Week 18) went up, and they need just one more win (or a Dallas loss). That also increases the chances that Philadelphia could rest starters in Week 18, which might influence how people pick this week.
We cover all that and more in both our video and the rest of this article.
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Circa Survivor Strategy Show: Week 16
Jason Lisk breaks down Circa Survivor strategy for Week 16 and the choices the 10 remaining entries could make.
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Circa Survivor Week 16 Strategy
Of the 10 entries left, here is how often the top five available teams by win odds are available:
- Houston – 3
- Buffalo – 1
- Philadelphia – 7
- San Francisco – 3
- New Orleans – 10
If you want to see all the remaining entries, you can see who they have picked previously in the Pick History page.
Who Will They Pick?
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